Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Zacha 52.8% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 81.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 53.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Kastelic
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
54.1% (534)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.0% (109)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
44.8% (96)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Zacha
Home
50.6% (162)
53.4% (406)
Away
57.4% (204)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Kastelic
Zacha
P1
61.5%
56.8%
P2
52.8%
53.6%
P3
50.0%
49.2%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%