Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Zacha 51.7% (+8.0%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 74.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Kastelic
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
53.3% (646)
+7.9%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
53.0% (100)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
38.9% (72)
+17.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Zacha
Home
60.9% (233)
51.7% (410)
Away
59.1% (254)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Kastelic
Zacha
P1
58.6%
57.7%
P2
58.7%
48.9%
P3
63.1%
50.2%
OT
53.8%
35.7%
Final 5 min
67.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%