Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Steel 49.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 54.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 88.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 58.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Kastelic
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kastelic
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
49.3% (383)
+7.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.1% (22)
+40.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
14.3% (7)
+85.7%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +85.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kastelic shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Steel
Home
54.8% (73)
49.4% (180)
Away
63.8% (47)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Kastelic
Steel
P1
50.0%
51.9%
P2
62.5%
43.8%
P3
60.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |