Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Steel 46.6% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 51.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 52.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kastelic
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kastelic
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Kastelic
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
44.6% (177)
+8.8%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.8% (29)
+30.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Kastelic shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Steel
Home
56.2% (162)
46.7% (90)
Away
52.9% (187)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Kastelic
Steel
P1
58.2%
47.8%
P2
58.8%
47.0%
P3
45.4%
41.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Sam Steel |