Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Steel 50.6% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Steel 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 76.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.9%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Kastelic
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
52.5% (200)
+8.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
71.4% (7)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
40.0% (45)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Steel
Home
60.9% (233)
49.5% (109)
Away
59.1% (254)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Kastelic
Steel
P1
58.6%
49.5%
P2
58.7%
47.5%
P3
63.1%
56.6%
OT
53.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
67.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%