Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Steel 50.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kastelic 57.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 95.2%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 80.9%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Kastelic
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Kastelic
Steel
Last 10: Kastelic 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
0
Kastelic
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
4
1
Kastelic
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Kastelic
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
50.6% (2,876)
+6.4%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
62.6% (179)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
37.4% (254)
+16.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Kastelic shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Steel
Home
58.9% (895)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Kastelic
Steel
P1
58.5%
51.9%
P2
56.9%
49.5%
P3
55.3%
49.6%
OT
53.8%
41.9%
Final 5 min
59.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |