Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Steel 48.8% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 63.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 91.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 60.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Kastelic
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kastelic
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
49.5% (553)
+8.5%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
61.3% (31)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
30.6% (49)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Kastelic shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Steel
Home
64.9% (265)
46.4% (347)
Away
50.5% (325)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Kastelic
Steel
P1
58.5%
52.1%
P2
55.6%
49.8%
P3
56.8%
45.2%
Final 5 min
62.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |