Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+18.0%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 72.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 71.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.9%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kastelic
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
30.8% (26)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
57.1% (7)
-21.8%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Lorentz
Home
50.6% (162)
35.0% (20)
Away
57.4% (204)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Kastelic
Lorentz
P1
61.5%
38.5%
P2
52.8%
37.5%
P3
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%