Mark Kastelic vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 69.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 96.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 90.9%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Kastelic
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Kastelic
Lorentz
Last 9: Kastelic 7-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
2
Kastelic
Lorentz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
48.9% (1,118)
+8.1%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
50.0% (26)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
41.9% (86)
+11.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Kastelic shoots right. Lorentz is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Lorentz
Home
58.9% (895)
50.8% (606)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Kastelic
Lorentz
P1
58.5%
53.0%
P2
56.9%
46.8%
P3
55.3%
46.1%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |