Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+10.0%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 61.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 77.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 53.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Kastelic
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
52.2% (67)
+9.0%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
42.9% (21)
+13.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Lorentz is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Lorentz
Home
60.9% (233)
55.4% (65)
Away
59.1% (254)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Kastelic
Lorentz
P1
58.6%
59.3%
P2
58.7%
47.1%
P3
63.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
67.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%