Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 71.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.0% vs Seguin 52.5% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 72.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 76.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Kastelic
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (281)
53.2% (201)
+7.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
60.0% (25)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (115)
44.4% (9)
+12.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kastelic is 71.2% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Kastelic shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Seguin
Home
61.5% (208)
56.3% (126)
Away
58.2% (194)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Kastelic
Seguin
P1
59.5%
44.3%
P2
59.7%
52.1%
P3
61.2%
62.5%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
66.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
60.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%