Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 61.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 65.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Kastelic
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
56.5% (712)
+0.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.7% (67)
+40.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
44.9% (49)
+55.1%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Kastelic shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Seguin
Home
54.8% (73)
58.5% (402)
Away
63.8% (47)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Kastelic
Seguin
P1
50.0%
58.4%
P2
62.5%
54.7%
P3
60.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%