Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 65.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Seguin 51.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 79.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 74.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Kastelic
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kastelic
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kastelic
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
54.8% (135)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
58.3% (24)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
26.7% (15)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Kastelic shoots right. Seguin is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Seguin
Home
50.6% (162)
47.4% (95)
Away
57.4% (204)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Kastelic
Seguin
P1
61.5%
50.8%
P2
52.8%
57.1%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |