Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 51.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 51.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Kastelic
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kastelic
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kastelic
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
56.9% (478)
-3.5%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
57.4% (54)
+42.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
51.3% (76)
+23.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Kastelic shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Seguin
Home
56.2% (162)
57.4% (317)
Away
52.9% (187)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Kastelic
Seguin
P1
58.2%
50.3%
P2
58.8%
60.4%
P3
45.4%
58.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |