Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 68.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Seguin 52.5% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 72.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Kastelic
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
53.2% (201)
+8.0%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
60.0% (25)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
44.4% (9)
+11.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kastelic is 68.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Kastelic shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Seguin
Home
60.9% (233)
56.3% (126)
Away
59.1% (254)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Kastelic
Seguin
P1
58.6%
44.3%
P2
58.7%
52.1%
P3
63.1%
62.5%
OT
53.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
67.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%