Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (+8.8%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 58.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 58.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Kastelic
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
49.1% (731)
+7.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
54.3% (81)
+45.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
48.2% (85)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kastelic shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Gourde
Home
54.8% (73)
50.9% (479)
Away
63.8% (47)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Kastelic
Gourde
P1
50.0%
51.2%
P2
62.5%
49.8%
P3
60.0%
47.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%