Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 44.6% vs Duchene 57.0% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.0%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 67.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 70.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Scheifele
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Scheifele
Duchene
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
5
Scheifele
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Scheifele
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (943)
56.5% (527)
-12.0%
Power Play
42.2% (180)
61.6% (185)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
59.3% (27)
-15.1%
On power play, Duchene has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Scheifele is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Scheifele shoots right. Duchene is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Duchene
Home
47.4% (549)
57.6% (403)
Away
41.3% (617)
58.3% (336)
By Period
Scheifele
Duchene
P1
43.7%
61.4%
P2
44.5%
58.5%
P3
43.8%
54.9%
OT
56.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |