Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Duchene 52.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.8%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 56.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Scheifele
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Scheifele
Duchene
Last 7: Scheifele 4-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Scheifele
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
53.9% (193)
-6.1%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
49.2% (65)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
100.0% (1)
-39.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Duchene
Home
50.7% (611)
54.9% (113)
Away
45.1% (596)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Scheifele
Duchene
P1
51.4%
54.9%
P2
47.3%
52.7%
P3
45.0%
51.9%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |