Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Duchene 55.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 75.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 78.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Scheifele
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Scheifele
Duchene
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Scheifele
Duchene
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
56.5% (566)
-8.4%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
61.3% (62)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
22.2% (9)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Duchene
Home
52.7% (630)
56.6% (318)
Away
43.5% (623)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Scheifele
Duchene
P1
50.3%
57.2%
P2
46.8%
55.1%
P3
47.5%
55.6%
OT
36.4%
81.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |