Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Duchene 52.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.2%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 63.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 55.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Scheifele
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Scheifele
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
46.9% (162)
+2.4%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
73.2% (56)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Scheifele shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Duchene
Home
52.3% (440)
58.4% (125)
Away
49.0% (408)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Scheifele
Duchene
P1
52.3%
56.9%
P2
50.4%
52.5%
P3
51.4%
51.9%
OT
25.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |