Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 59.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 67.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Barzal
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
56.6% (1,064)
-10.0%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
60.4% (260)
-19.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Barzal
O'Reilly
Home
49.6% (242)
54.9% (801)
Away
43.3% (263)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Barzal
O'Reilly
P1
42.4%
58.0%
P2
49.5%
56.7%
P3
47.7%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
40.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%