Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-10.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 61.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 50.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Barzal
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
55.0% (1,084)
-12.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Barzal
O'Reilly
Home
35.8% (53)
54.8% (759)
Away
49.2% (61)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Barzal
O'Reilly
P1
44.2%
55.3%
P2
38.5%
51.9%
P3
46.9%
54.2%
Final 5 min
38.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%