Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-13.4%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Barzal
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
56.2% (983)
-13.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Barzal
O'Reilly
Home
28.0% (25)
56.2% (697)
Away
55.6% (27)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Barzal
O'Reilly
P1
47.4%
54.5%
P2
45.8%
55.5%
P3
22.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
37.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%