Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Aho 50.0% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Aho 57.5%
Defensive zone
Barzal 62.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Barzal
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
49.9% (851)
-9.5%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
53.5% (144)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
43.3% (60)
-14.7%
On power play, Aho has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Barzal
Aho
Home
38.1% (244)
53.2% (554)
Away
41.3% (264)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Barzal
Aho
P1
46.6%
49.1%
P2
35.7%
50.8%
P3
37.7%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
40.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%