Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Joseph 43.9% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 78.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Larkin
Joseph
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Joseph
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Joseph
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joseph
0
1
Larkin
Joseph
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Joseph
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Joseph
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
38.9% (108)
+10.6%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
50.0% (2)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
0.0% (2)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Larkin shoots left. Joseph is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Larkin
Joseph
Home
48.5% (388)
38.0% (50)
Away
50.6% (342)
38.7% (62)
By Period
Larkin
Joseph
P1
52.1%
38.5%
P2
46.9%
25.6%
P3
49.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Mathieu Joseph |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Mathieu Joseph |