Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Duchene
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
55.9% (245)
-9.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
0.0% (3)
+73.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
57.1% (7)
+42.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +73.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bjugstad
Home
58.4% (125)
53.2% (111)
Away
48.4% (95)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Duchene
Bjugstad
P1
56.9%
44.6%
P2
52.5%
61.4%
P3
51.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%