Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.9% vs Foligno 46.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 64.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Duchene
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Duchene
Foligno
Last 8: Duchene 6-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
0
Duchene
Foligno
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Duchene
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Duchene
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (248)
44.0% (159)
+11.6%
Power Play
45.3% (53)
54.9% (51)
-9.6%
On even strength, Duchene has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Duchene is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Duchene shoots left. Foligno is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Duchene
Foligno
Home
54.7% (150)
43.0% (142)
Away
53.0% (151)
47.1% (119)
By Period
Duchene
Foligno
P1
51.1%
47.8%
P2
57.8%
42.6%
P3
52.4%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |