Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Foligno 52.0% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 68.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 55.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Duchene
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
53.4% (249)
+3.1%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
53.2% (154)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
40.6% (32)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Duchene
Foligno
Home
56.6% (318)
57.3% (225)
Away
56.4% (319)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Duchene
Foligno
P1
57.2%
53.0%
P2
55.1%
51.8%
P3
55.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%