Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Foligno 51.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Duchene
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Duchene
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
58.1% (31)
-11.2%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.0% (2)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
50.0% (6)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Duchene
Foligno
Home
58.4% (125)
56.3% (16)
Away
48.4% (95)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Duchene
Foligno
P1
56.9%
50.0%
P2
52.5%
66.7%
P3
51.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |