Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Foligno 52.3% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 77.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Duchene
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
52.0% (50)
+1.9%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
66.7% (21)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Duchene
Foligno
Home
54.9% (113)
51.2% (41)
Away
51.4% (146)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Duchene
Foligno
P1
54.9%
55.6%
P2
52.7%
48.0%
P3
51.9%
65.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%