Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 63.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Duchene
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
42.9% (133)
+4.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
55.1% (89)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
47.1% (17)
+52.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Duchene
Schmaltz
Home
58.4% (125)
41.6% (125)
Away
48.4% (95)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Duchene
Schmaltz
P1
56.9%
40.0%
P2
52.5%
59.5%
P3
51.9%
45.0%
OT
80.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%