Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+12.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 55.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Duchene
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
37.7% (53)
+16.2%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
40.9% (44)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Duchene
Schmaltz
Home
54.9% (113)
34.7% (49)
Away
51.4% (146)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Duchene
Schmaltz
P1
54.9%
25.9%
P2
52.7%
46.2%
P3
51.9%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
60.6%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%