Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 74.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Duchene
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
48.1% (268)
+4.9%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
50.5% (91)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
58.8% (17)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Duchene
Schmaltz
Home
54.9% (408)
49.0% (206)
Away
50.0% (432)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Duchene
Schmaltz
P1
52.5%
53.6%
P2
51.7%
46.2%
P3
53.6%
50.4%
OT
33.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |