Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.0% vs Danault 54.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Duchene
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Duchene
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (177)
56.7% (561)
-5.3%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
43.9% (41)
+31.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
50.0% (94)
-30.0%
On power play, Duchene has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Duchene is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Duchene shoots left. Danault is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Duchene
Danault
Home
48.8% (41)
58.4% (279)
Away
52.3% (149)
52.8% (417)
By Period
Duchene
Danault
P1
47.6%
55.5%
P2
62.3%
55.7%
P3
46.2%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |