Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Danault 54.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 72.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 54.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Duchene
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Duchene
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
56.5% (711)
-5.3%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
46.0% (50)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
51.7% (116)
-35.0%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Duchene shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Duchene
Danault
Home
51.6% (182)
57.0% (379)
Away
52.2% (201)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Duchene
Danault
P1
49.6%
55.8%
P2
56.2%
55.3%
P3
48.6%
54.8%
OT
60.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |