Matt Duchene vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.3%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 23 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Danault 53.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 41-32 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 72.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 55.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Duchene
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
32
(73 meetings)
41
32
Duchene
Danault
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
18
5
Duchene
Danault
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
7
14
Duchene
Danault
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
16
13
Duchene
Danault
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
53.6% (9,447)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
61.4% (757)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
47.4% (1,702)
+1.7%
On power play, Danault has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Home / Away
Duchene
Danault
Home
55.6% (6,411)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Duchene
Danault
P1
54.5%
53.7%
P2
54.5%
53.5%
P3
53.4%
52.7%
OT
56.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |