Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Danault 54.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 79.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Duchene
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Duchene
Danault
Last 5: Duchene 2-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Duchene
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
55.1% (953)
-1.2%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
64.6% (144)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.0% (176)
+58.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +58.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Duchene
Danault
Home
54.9% (113)
55.4% (641)
Away
51.4% (146)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Duchene
Danault
P1
54.9%
61.0%
P2
52.7%
52.3%
P3
51.9%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
60.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |