Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.2%). Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Danault 52.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 67.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 57.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Duchene
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Duchene
Danault
Last 10: Duchene 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
2
Duchene
Danault
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Duchene
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
2
Duchene
Danault
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
52.4% (958)
+0.6%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
62.0% (71)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
47.6% (187)
-3.8%
On power play, Danault has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Duchene
Danault
Home
54.9% (408)
51.2% (605)
Away
50.0% (432)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Duchene
Danault
P1
52.5%
53.1%
P2
51.7%
49.8%
P3
53.6%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |