Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Danault 53.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 86.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 63.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Duchene
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Duchene
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
54.0% (985)
-7.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
61.1% (131)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.8% (146)
+56.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Danault is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Duchene
Danault
Home
58.4% (125)
54.7% (636)
Away
48.4% (95)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Duchene
Danault
P1
56.9%
54.1%
P2
52.5%
54.3%
P3
51.9%
52.5%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |