Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Danault 51.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 69.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 54.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Duchene
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Duchene
Danault
Last 8: Duchene 4-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Duchene
Danault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
52.6% (895)
+3.9%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
55.7% (97)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
45.5% (165)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Duchene
Danault
Home
56.6% (318)
54.0% (581)
Away
56.4% (319)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Duchene
Danault
P1
57.2%
53.7%
P2
55.1%
55.3%
P3
55.6%
46.5%
OT
81.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |