Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Thomas 49.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 73.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Duchene
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Duchene
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Duchene
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Duchene
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
49.0% (910)
-2.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
53.5% (142)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
53.3% (75)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Duchene
Thomas
Home
58.4% (125)
47.3% (514)
Away
48.4% (95)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Duchene
Thomas
P1
56.9%
50.4%
P2
52.5%
47.5%
P3
51.9%
51.4%
OT
80.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |