Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Thomas 54.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 53.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 58.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Duchene
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Duchene
Thomas
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
2
Duchene
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Duchene
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
55.3% (990)
-2.3%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
54.2% (190)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
52.5% (158)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Duchene
Thomas
Home
54.9% (408)
55.1% (690)
Away
50.0% (432)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Duchene
Thomas
P1
52.5%
55.5%
P2
51.7%
56.4%
P3
53.6%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
69.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2024 | OT | 02:14 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |