Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Duchene wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Trocheck 53.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 64.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 85.4%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 64.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Duchene
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Duchene
Trocheck
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
2
Duchene
Trocheck
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
1
Duchene
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
53.9% (1,270)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
62.2% (164)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
46.2% (143)
+2.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Duchene is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Duchene shoots left. Trocheck is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Home / Away
Duchene
Trocheck
Home
55.7% (652)
54.3% (818)
Away
50.4% (702)
53.9% (759)
By Period
Duchene
Trocheck
P1
51.4%
52.8%
P2
53.9%
56.6%
P3
53.3%
52.7%
OT
55.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |