Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 50.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Duchene
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Duchene
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Duchene
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
59.6% (1,032)
-6.6%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
62.1% (253)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
55.4% (249)
-11.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Duchene
Trocheck
Home
54.9% (408)
61.7% (786)
Away
50.0% (432)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Duchene
Trocheck
P1
52.5%
61.7%
P2
51.7%
58.8%
P3
53.6%
57.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |