Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 50.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 59.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 62.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Duchene
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Duchene
Trocheck
Last 10: Duchene 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
2
Duchene
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Duchene
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
57.6% (1,061)
-1.1%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
65.1% (338)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
49.5% (101)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Duchene shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Duchene
Trocheck
Home
56.6% (318)
61.8% (735)
Away
56.4% (319)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Duchene
Trocheck
P1
57.2%
57.7%
P2
55.1%
57.9%
P3
55.6%
60.4%
OT
81.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |