Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.6%). Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 75.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Duchene
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Duchene
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Duchene
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Duchene
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
54.3% (955)
-7.4%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
64.6% (96)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
51.0% (194)
+49.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Duchene
Trocheck
Home
58.4% (125)
58.3% (604)
Away
48.4% (95)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Duchene
Trocheck
P1
56.9%
53.9%
P2
52.5%
55.7%
P3
51.9%
54.3%
OT
80.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |