Matt Duchene vs Vincent Trocheck
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 54.2%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 33 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Trocheck 54.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 47-31 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 58.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 73.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 61.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Duchene
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
31
(78 meetings)
47
31
Duchene
Trocheck
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
26
7
Duchene
Trocheck
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
9
14
Duchene
Trocheck
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
12
10
Duchene
Trocheck
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
53.7% (10,904)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
60.8% (1,856)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
49.6% (1,461)
-0.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
Duchene
Trocheck
Home
55.6% (6,411)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
Duchene
Trocheck
P1
54.5%
54.1%
P2
54.5%
54.7%
P3
53.4%
54.0%
OT
56.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |