Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 60.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Duchene
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
57.8% (626)
-6.6%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
63.6% (151)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.0% (141)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Duchene shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Duchene
Trocheck
Home
51.6% (182)
54.4% (390)
Away
52.2% (201)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Duchene
Trocheck
P1
49.6%
56.4%
P2
56.2%
58.7%
P3
48.6%
54.8%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%