Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 74.4%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Duchene
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
55.0% (956)
-1.1%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
59.8% (266)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.3% (64)
+43.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Duchene
Trocheck
Home
54.9% (113)
57.7% (673)
Away
51.4% (146)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Duchene
Trocheck
P1
54.9%
55.4%
P2
52.7%
55.6%
P3
51.9%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
60.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%