Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.9% vs Trocheck 55.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.1%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 89.9%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 82.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Duchene
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Duchene
Trocheck
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
0
Duchene
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Duchene
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (248)
56.5% (598)
-0.9%
Power Play
45.3% (53)
61.5% (52)
-16.2%
On power play, Trocheck has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Duchene is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Duchene shoots left. Trocheck is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Duchene
Trocheck
Home
54.7% (150)
57.4% (376)
Away
53.0% (151)
54.7% (393)
By Period
Duchene
Trocheck
P1
51.1%
53.6%
P2
57.8%
60.3%
P3
52.4%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |